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中国沙漠 ›› 2026, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (4): 98-108.DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-694X.2026.00005

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要素约束背景下西北五省(区)全域旅游基础发展效率测度及时空演化特征

陈彦芳1(), 崔文杰2   

  1. 1.甘肃农业大学 财经学院,甘肃 兰州 730070
    2.北京师范大学 统计学院,北京 100875
  • 收稿日期:2025-11-13 修回日期:2026-01-12 出版日期:2026-07-20 发布日期:2026-08-27
  • 作者简介:陈彦芳(1983—),女,河南上蔡人,讲师,主要从事财务会计、区域经济研究。E-mail: 1509357854@qq.com
  • 基金资助:
    甘肃省知识产权计划项目(25ZSCQG013)

Investigating the foundational efficiency and its spatio-temporal evolution of all-for-one tourism in northwest China under factor constraints

Yanfang Chen1(), Wenjie Cui2   

  1. 1.College of Finance and Economics,Gansu Agricultural University,Lanzhou 730070,China
    2.School of Statistics,Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100875,China
  • Received:2025-11-13 Revised:2026-01-12 Online:2026-07-20 Published:2026-08-27

摘要:

本研究基于20122024年西北五省(区)的面板数据,采用超效率EBM模型、EBM-Malmquist指数模型和空间自相关分析方法,对研究区全域旅游基础发展效率及其时空演变特征进行实证测度。结果显示:(1)西北五省(区)全域旅游基础发展效率指数呈稳步上升趋势,整体增幅有限,效能释放滞后,且省际差异显著,甘肃、新疆、陕西、青海、宁夏的均值分别为0.8197、0.6476、0.6030、0.5734、0.3416,需加强资源整合与差异化协同。(2)全要素生产率年均增长率为正,主要得益于技术进步与纯技术效率的推动,凸显出技术创新的关键作用。(3)全域旅游基础发展效率存在空间负相关性,Moran's I指数波动下降,空间集聚表现出持续性与阶段性并存的特征。根据效率水平与发展态势,五省(区)可划分为3类:甘肃为“尝试突破型”,新疆和陕西为“中效徘徊型”,青海与宁夏为“潜力待发型”。研究为促进西北五省(区)旅游业高质量协调发展提供理论支持与政策参考。

关键词: 西北五省(区), 全域旅游基础发展效率, 超效率EBM, 时空演化

Abstract:

This study employs panel data from five northwestern provinces (autonomous regions) from 2012 to 2024. Using the Super-efficiency EBM model, EBM-Malmquist index, and spatial autocorrelation analysis, we empirically measure the foundational development efficiency of all-for-one tourism and its spatio-temporal evolution in the study area. The findings reveal that: (1) The overall foundational development efficiency of all-for-one tourism in the five northwestern provinces (autonomous regions) shows a steady yet limited upward trend, with a notable lag in efficiency release and significant inter-provincial disparities. The mean values for Gansu, Xinjiang, Shaanxi, Qinghai, and Ningxia are 0.8197, 0.6476, 0.6030, 0.5734, and 0.3416, respectively, indicating a need for enhanced resource integration and differentiated coordination; (2) The average annual growth rate of total factor productivity is positive, primarily driven by technological progress and pure technical efficiency, highlighting the critical role of technological innovation; (3) A negative spatial correlation is observed in the foundational development efficiency of all-for-one tourism, with the Moran's I index fluctuating downward, and spatial agglomeration exhibiting both persistence and phased characteristics. Based on efficiency levels and development trends, the five provinces (autonomous regions) can be categorized into three types: Gansu as striving-for-breakthrough, Xinjiang and Shaanxi as medium-efficiency fluctuating, and Qinghai and Ningxia as potential-to-be-activated. These conclusions provide theoretical support and policy insights for promoting high-quality and coordinated tourism development in the five northwestern provinces (autonomous regions).

Key words: five northwestern provinces (autonomous regions), foundational efficiency of all-for-one tourism, Super-efficiency EBM, spatiotemporal evolution

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